Derive The Most Powerful Test

by ADMIN 30 views

Introduction

In the realm of hypothesis testing, the most powerful test is a crucial concept that helps us determine the best possible test for a given hypothesis. In this article, we will delve into the world of hypothesis testing and derive the most powerful test for a specific scenario. We will consider two sample problems where X1,,XnX_1, \ldots, X_n are i.i.d with CDF F and Y1,,YmY_1, \ldots, Y_m are i.i.d from CDF FδF^\delta for some δ>0\delta > 0. Assuming F to be a CDF on the real line with density f, we will derive the most powerful test for the following hypothesis:

H0:F=F0vsH1:F=F1H_0: F = F_0 \quad \text{vs} \quad H_1: F = F_1

where F0F_0 and F1F_1 are two distinct CDFs.

Preliminaries

Before we dive into the derivation of the most powerful test, let's establish some notation and assumptions.

  • X1,,XnX_1, \ldots, X_n are i.i.d with CDF F and density f.
  • Y1,,YmY_1, \ldots, Y_m are i.i.d from CDF FδF^\delta for some δ>0\delta > 0.
  • F is a CDF on the real line with density f.
  • F0F_0 and F1F_1 are two distinct CDFs.

We will assume that the observations X1,,XnX_1, \ldots, X_n and Y1,,YmY_1, \ldots, Y_m are independent.

The Neyman-Pearson Lemma

The Neyman-Pearson Lemma is a fundamental result in hypothesis testing that provides a way to derive the most powerful test for a given hypothesis. The lemma states that the most powerful test for the hypothesis H0:F=F0vsH1:F=F1H_0: F = F_0 \quad \text{vs} \quad H_1: F = F_1 is given by:

ϕ(x)={1if f1(x)f0(x)>k0otherwise\phi(x) = \begin{cases} 1 & \text{if } \frac{f_1(x)}{f_0(x)} > k \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}

where f0f_0 and f1f_1 are the densities corresponding to the CDFs F0F_0 and F1F_1, respectively, and kk is a constant that depends on the desired significance level.

Derivation of the Most Powerful Test

To derive the most powerful test, we need to find the density f1f_1 corresponding to the CDF F1F_1. Since F1=FδF_1 = F^\delta, we have:

f1(x)=δf(xδ)f_1(x) = \delta f(x^\delta)

Now, we can apply the Neyman-Pearson Lemma to derive the most powerful test.

Let ϕ(x)\phi(x) be the most powerful test for the hypothesis H0:F=F0vsH1:F=F1H_0: F = F_0 \quad \text{vs} \quad H_1: F = F_1. Then, we have:

ϕ(x)={1if δf(xδ)f0(x)>k0otherwise\phi(x) = \begin{cases} 1 & \text{if } \frac{\delta f(x^\delta)}{f_0(x)} > k \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}

To simplify the expression, we can rewrite it as:

ϕ(x)={1if δf(xδ)f0(x)>k0otherwise\phi(x) = \begin{cases} 1 & \text{if } \frac{\delta f(x^\delta)}{f_0(x)} > k \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}

ϕ(x)={1if f(xδ)f0(x)>kδ0otherwise\phi(x) = \begin{cases} 1 & \text{if } \frac{f(x^\delta)}{f_0(x)} > \frac{k}{\delta} \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}

Now, we can see that the most powerful test depends on the ratio of the densities f(xδ)f(x^\delta) and f0(x)f_0(x).

The Ratio of Densities

To find the ratio of the densities f(xδ)f(x^\delta) and f0(x)f_0(x), we can use the following result:

f(xδ)f0(x)=xδf(t)dtxf0(t)dt\frac{f(x^\delta)}{f_0(x)} = \frac{\int_{-\infty}^{x^\delta} f(t) dt}{\int_{-\infty}^{x} f_0(t) dt}

Now, we can substitute this expression into the most powerful test.

The Most Powerful Test

Substituting the expression for the ratio of densities into the most powerful test, we get:

ϕ(x)={1if xδf(t)dtxf0(t)dt>kδ0otherwise\phi(x) = \begin{cases} 1 & \text{if } \frac{\int_{-\infty}^{x^\delta} f(t) dt}{\int_{-\infty}^{x} f_0(t) dt} > \frac{k}{\delta} \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}

This is the most powerful test for the hypothesis H0:F=F0vsH1:F=F1H_0: F = F_0 \quad \text{vs} \quad H_1: F = F_1.

Conclusion

In this article, we derived the most powerful test for a specific scenario. We considered two sample problems where X1,,XnX_1, \ldots, X_n are i.i.d with CDF F and Y1,,YmY_1, \ldots, Y_m are i.i.d from CDF FδF^\delta for some δ>0\delta > 0. Assuming F to be a CDF on the real line with density f, we derived the most powerful test for the hypothesis H0:F=F0vsH1:F=F1H_0: F = F_0 \quad \text{vs} \quad H_1: F = F_1. The most powerful test depends on the ratio of the densities f(xδ)f(x^\delta) and f0(x)f_0(x).

References

  • Neyman, J., & Pearson, E. S. (1933). On the problem of the most efficient tests of statistical hypotheses. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series A, 231, 289-337.
  • Lehmann, E. L. (1959). Testing statistical hypotheses. Wiley.

Further Reading

  • Hogg, R. V., & Craig, A. T. (1995). Introduction to mathematical statistics. Prentice Hall.
  • Casella, G., & Berger, R. L. (2002). Statistical inference. Duxbury Press.
    Derive the Most Powerful Test: Q&A =====================================

Q: What is the most powerful test in hypothesis testing?

A: The most powerful test is a statistical test that has the highest probability of detecting a true alternative hypothesis when the null hypothesis is false. It is the best possible test for a given hypothesis.

Q: What is the Neyman-Pearson Lemma?

A: The Neyman-Pearson Lemma is a fundamental result in hypothesis testing that provides a way to derive the most powerful test for a given hypothesis. It states that the most powerful test for the hypothesis H0:F=F0vsH1:F=F1H_0: F = F_0 \quad \text{vs} \quad H_1: F = F_1 is given by:

ϕ(x)={1if f1(x)f0(x)>k0otherwise\phi(x) = \begin{cases} 1 & \text{if } \frac{f_1(x)}{f_0(x)} > k \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}

where f0f_0 and f1f_1 are the densities corresponding to the CDFs F0F_0 and F1F_1, respectively, and kk is a constant that depends on the desired significance level.

Q: How do I derive the most powerful test?

A: To derive the most powerful test, you need to find the density f1f_1 corresponding to the CDF F1F_1. Since F1=FδF_1 = F^\delta, you have:

f1(x)=δf(xδ)f_1(x) = \delta f(x^\delta)

Then, you can apply the Neyman-Pearson Lemma to derive the most powerful test.

Q: What is the ratio of densities in the most powerful test?

A: The ratio of densities in the most powerful test is given by:

f(xδ)f0(x)=xδf(t)dtxf0(t)dt\frac{f(x^\delta)}{f_0(x)} = \frac{\int_{-\infty}^{x^\delta} f(t) dt}{\int_{-\infty}^{x} f_0(t) dt}

This ratio depends on the CDFs FF and F0F_0.

Q: How do I determine the constant kk in the most powerful test?

A: The constant kk in the most powerful test depends on the desired significance level. You can determine kk using the following formula:

k=α1αk = \frac{\alpha}{1 - \alpha}

where α\alpha is the desired significance level.

Q: What are the assumptions of the most powerful test?

A: The most powerful test assumes that the observations X1,,XnX_1, \ldots, X_n and Y1,,YmY_1, \ldots, Y_m are independent and identically distributed with CDFs FF and FδF^\delta, respectively.

Q: What are the limitations of the most powerful test?

A: The most powerful test has several limitations. It assumes that the CDFs FF and FδF^\delta are known, which is often not the case in practice. Additionally, the test may not be robust to non-normality or non-identical distributions.

Q: How do I apply the most powerful test in practice?

A: To apply the most powerful test in, you need to:

  1. Determine the CDFs FF and FδF^\delta.
  2. Find the density f1f_1 corresponding to the CDF F1F_1.
  3. Apply the Neyman-Pearson Lemma to derive the most powerful test.
  4. Determine the constant kk using the desired significance level.
  5. Test the null hypothesis using the most powerful test.

Conclusion

In this article, we provided a Q&A guide to the most powerful test in hypothesis testing. We discussed the Neyman-Pearson Lemma, the ratio of densities, and the assumptions and limitations of the most powerful test. We also provided a step-by-step guide on how to apply the most powerful test in practice.

References

  • Neyman, J., & Pearson, E. S. (1933). On the problem of the most efficient tests of statistical hypotheses. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series A, 231, 289-337.
  • Lehmann, E. L. (1959). Testing statistical hypotheses. Wiley.

Further Reading

  • Hogg, R. V., & Craig, A. T. (1995). Introduction to mathematical statistics. Prentice Hall.
  • Casella, G., & Berger, R. L. (2002). Statistical inference. Duxbury Press.